There's a pretty decent size thread of interesting discussion beneath it, demonstrating that it is of value.
> I don't understand why this comment was singled out
I don't moderate this site, but if I did I might be tempted to use a script to scrape for keywords and phrases that sound like violations of the guidelines and issue replies at a key press or automatically. And that's a good way to do it, except occasionally it causes... well... a shallow dismissal?
We do not scrape for keywords or phrases that sound like violations of the guidelines.
"Decent size" does not indicate value on HN. We want quality, not quantity. The responses that the root comment generated were mostly either generic (e.g. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28995221) or outright flamewar crap.
Of course one is biased in favour of ones own product, but the network effects of AIM were essentially completely overtaken by facebook messenger, thanks in part to a technological change (phones) and delivering a product that didn't require both parties to be online at the same time.
Digg died and the population moved to reddit. MySpace is deader than most zombies.
In my admittedly naive way I always hope that they will win out by having the better product. But to your point, I think the network effects are much, much, much stronger than anyone (including Theil, from which I first heard this concept) had ever anticipated.
So maybe the question is how does one beat the network effects that are so prevalent?
>So maybe the question is how does one beat the network effects that are so prevalent?
The answer is and has always been to emphasize user equality and to hold each user individually responsible for their actions.
Reddit screwed up all it's integrity when it stopped showing downvote stats in addition to upvote counts.. They needed brigading and skewed voting to allow sponsored posts, celebrity and popularity, and promoted ideals to be artificially promoted as favorable by a majority.
Faked/limited stats, limited controls, and misleading numbers are trademark characteristics of an artificially skewed or profit-biased platform these days.
> But to your point, I think the network effects are much, much, much stronger than anyone (including Theil, from which I first heard this concept) had ever anticipated.
> So maybe the question is how does one beat the network effects that are so prevalent?
You can't. And in fact, these doomed-to-be-shut-down sites are in fact exhibiting an extremely strong network effect. The founding group of malcontents has an existing network of relationships with both strong and weak ties, and the whole lot of them get pulled in en-mass.
That's what you have to overcome in these cases, not the network effect that the mainstream sites exhibit. FB, Reddit, and Twitter don't necessarily have to be beaten in order for a smaller site to succeed on it's own terms.
There are tactics that would make it likelier for such a site to endure, but the site would have to commit at the outset to a whole hearted strategy of weapons-grade muffling of the toxic sludge. Pretty much implement every undeployed UI trick and algorithmic tweak that can be found in the recent FB leaks. Implement shadowbans. Use rate limiting. Suppress the display of posts that have a higher ratio of angry emoji reactions. Brigade detection. Virality and repost limits.
Anyway, if you're willing and prepared to dial the soft-moderation and filter-bubbles up to 11, you MIGHT be able to run a free-speech-centric site that is capable of withstanding an influx of Nazis and Trolls without degenerating into a festering cesspool that repels anyone else. But you're going to have to have a crew with pretty strong stomachs looking at all the sludge just in order to continually maintain and adjust the knobs on those measures.
None of that will be cheap or easy, and in the end you'll have accomplished a rather dubious feat: a site that allows conspiracy theories and racist Nazi rants to be posted while limiting their spread as much as possible. So you can 'friend' your crazy uncle frank and comment on his fishing photos without having to deal with his anti-masking posts or Alex Jones fan-fiction.
Of course the folks you're muffling will complain loudly, but realistically speaking that won't prevent them from using the site.
I'm not sure you can build a viable business model around that value proposition, but from a technical and social standpoint it might work.
The shutdowns will happen so long as 1) there's not enough market share for the competing product (presumably from the network effects) and 2) there's market suppression from the current players. In other words: as long as there is a competing first-landing player and that player is actively working against any newcomers will there be a change? Probably not. To put this into a historical context: Standard Oil was notoriously gobbling up or destroying small players as a very successful attempt to own the market. This is no different.
I don't think "remaining up" is the totality of their goals. I think what the writer of the post is getting at is that pursuing this direction leads to no outcomes better than a marginally sustained existence.
https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html