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by arcticbull 1694 days ago
It accrues value specifically because people don't use it.

Currencies don't skyrocket in value because it cripples the economy if that happens. In currency terms, it would yield a deflationary spiral. What happens is people save their currency instead of spending it, which causes retailers to lower the prices to incentivize spending. This in turn means they have less money to pay their workers, and they have to cut their pay and lay them off. This means the workers have less money to spend and the cycle continues.

Even without a deflationary spiral, there's something called the paradox of thrift. [1]

Something like 80% of Bitcoin hasn't moved in the last year.

If we set aside the influence of USDT, the narrative you're pointing to would be that people are valuing Bitcoin more highly because of its utility as some form of currency - maybe, one day. In reality, due to its fundamental limitations and incentive structures (2-3 tx/sec), it cannot be a currency. It will always be the currency of the future, forever.

[1] https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/paradox-of-thrift.asp

2 comments

I was thinking specifically in the beginning, though. Had no one used BTC at all for anything, I imagine it would have failed to thrive.

Does that sound wrong as well?

Right or wrong is so hard to say, I'm just speculating. You could easily be right.
Now explain DOGE.
Memes.
Honestly, it seems it may be more than enough to become the preferred transactional currency of, say, Taco Bell.

The decreasing inflation and other technical merits are super interesting, though.