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by a0-prw 1702 days ago
Better start today, then.
3 comments

Or just vaccinate. Cheaper and better. (Try estimating the price of enough hospitals, employees and of course the sick leave for the patients. Then multiply with x in case people contract covid several times during life.)
It's still trying to solve linearly a problem that propagates exponentially.
Obviously, increasing hospital capacity is not a short term solution to Covid. It will, however, mitigate the next pandemic and help in bad flu seasons.

If the reason for lockdowns was "flattening the curve" to not swamp hospitals, then we could have avoided lockdowns if hospitals had been able to absorb the increase in patients.

"On July 5 1948 the National Health Service took control of 480,000 hospital beds in England and Wales. An estimated 125,000 nurses and 5,000 consultants were available to care for hospital patients."

"By 1952 the situation improved, figures show there were 245,000 whole time equivalent nurses."

Source: https://www.nursingtimes.net/archive/the-birth-of-the-nhs-ju...

In 1948 the population of the UK was under 50 million. In 2020 it was over 65 million.

Source: https://www.closer.ac.uk/data/estimated-annual-population/

"The total number of hospital beds in the UK is 170,548, correct at the time of publishing this article in April 2020."

Source: https://www.interweavetextiles.com/how-many-hospital-beds-uk...

The number of nurses in the UK: "Over the last year (April 2019 to April 2020) the number of nurses has gone up by 13,502: from 282,506 to 296,008."

Source: https://www.gov.uk/government/news/nhs-nurse-numbers-continu...

> If the reason for lockdowns was "flattening the curve" to not swamp hospitals, then we could have avoided lockdowns if hospitals had been able to absorb the increase in patients.

No, because you have exponential growth without lockdowns. You cannot have exponential increase in hospital beds. And, obviously, by "bed" we mean "team of qualified, registered, trained, health care professionals".

So I assume you are a medical worker already?