[perpetualpatzer]

I imagine the answer here varies a lot by elo of the training corpus because skill effects the probability input. In the 500s, 3. Qh5 to scholar's mate is both potent and very probable. In the 1300s it's just a mistake. It would be really interesting to see the overlap between high and low elo traps.

[datashrimp]

Absolutely - in the repo, you can adjust for the skill of the opponent https://github.com/davidADSP/chess-trap-scorer.

The analysis so far has been for 1600-1800 players.