|
|
|
|
|
by pfdietz
1711 days ago
|
|
One major issue is that providing enough fusion power with ARC reactors to power the world economy would require 100x more beryllium than the current estimated global resource (not reserve). Only a bit over 200 tonnes of Be is mined every year right now. It's not a common element. Abdou's team (the fusion engineering guy at UCLA) rejected molten salt blankets for this reason, among others, after trying really hard to get them to work in studies. One big problem with fusion is the low power density. I harp on that a lot, but it's been known to be a very serious problem for decades. ARC's power density is 40x worse than a PWR's reactor vessel. It's difficult to see how fusion can beat fission given this. I suspect the optimistic numbers for fusion come from using a way too cheery cost estimation methodology, something that would predict fission is far cheaper than it actually turned out to be. |
|
I was always somewhat concerned about the abundance of critical raw materials for ARC or other fusion projects. I had assumed that the rare-earth elements in the REBCO tape, e.g. yttrium, would be constrained. I didn't suspect that beryllium could be a limiting resource. But I wonder if the lack of supply is related to true scarcity or just to a lack of a profitable market currently.
These are all questions I'd want to ask domain experts in mining and fusion.
But I agree that fission would be a better solution for baseload, at least for the next 10-20 years. If only newer modular designs were actually approved...