[sbergot]

Macron presented itself as the "reasonable" option between classical left & right & the extreme right.

He seems in a pretty good position as far as poles go. The left will be divided as usual. The right is struggling to find a candidate, has many court cases to deal with, and has yet to find its position relative to the far right. The far right is torn with crazy extremists such as éric zemmour.

While Macron has made many communication mistakes, his success with the vaccine pass and his ability to deliver good speeches at the right time may allow him to win a second mandate. After that his party will probably collapse.

[hef19898]

Whether or not En Marche collapses after the 2022 election largely depends on whether they win or not.. And if they win, how they do until 2027.