[mongol]

I think it is very likely that it will be rewarded, just not this year. Some time need to pass, and even though the discovery should be rewarded, it also needs to be figured out who to reward it to. Probably there are more than 3 contenders.

[bduerst]

I would bet money that there is one awarded in the next 10-15 years.

Nobel prizes are notorious for not being reactionary, and waiting for the full effects of the work to be realized - i.e. GFP tagging awarded the nobel prize 16 years after it was first used.

mRNA vaccination technology is just getting started, the impact of which will likely be on the level of penicillin.

[akiselev]

It might take even longer, though the all encompassing impact of the pandemic might bring it to the forefront. Although there are outliers, at this point the average time from discovery to Nobel recognition is over 20 years for the most recent prizes: https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2020/10/09/the-nobe...