[klyrs]

Get off your high horse. Smart people suffer Dunning-Kreuger too. I've delved quite deep into a specialty, to the point that anybody capable of even understanding what I'm talking about will have some intuition about what should work. They're usually very wrong. Does that make them stupid? No. Their ideas are simply lines of thought that I've plumbed deeply in years' past. There are highly non-obvious reasons that the idea doesn't work out. But, sometimes I get surprised by a good idea from left field.

The above doesn't stop me from making guesses about other fields. Does that make me an idiot? No. I do try to be upfront about my naivety, but, I suffer Dunning-Kruger like everybody else, and sometimes I grossly overestimate my confidence. It happens. And that's how we learn.

If you want to talk to somebody smart, look for their expertise. If you want to feel smarter than everybody, only pay attention to your expertise, but remember, you're "not smart" too.

The funny thing about "Gell-Mann Amnesia" is that people make a career out of doing their best to understand 10 years of research in 10 hours, and repackage that for people to understand in 10 minutes. Recalibrate your expectations.