[ashwagary]

I doubt Japan and Australia can restrain China. I also find it highly unlikely either can afford to take on a multimillion man army that has prepared for at least half a century for this kind of engagement.

The amount of casualties in those countries would be crippling in any scenario I can imagine. This pushes me to the conclusion that Taiwan will be reabsorbed by mainland without a bullet being fired.

[LurkingPenguin]

> I also find it highly unlikely either can afford to take on a multimillion man army that has prepared for at least half a century for this kind of engagement.

In modern combat, and for the type of conflict that's coming, a multimillion man army that has virtually no real-world experience matters less than you think.

> I doubt Japan and Australia can restrain China.

It's not going to be just Japan and Australia.

> This pushes me to the conclusion that Taiwan will be reabsorbed by mainland without a bullet being fired.

Interesting language. Taiwan can't be "reabsorbed" because it wasn't a part of China to begin with.

China is going to have to fire more than bullets if it wants to try to take Taiwan.

[fellodip]

> Interesting language. Taiwan can't be "reabsorbed" because it wasn't a part of China to begin with.

Two sovereign entities both presiding over the china landmass predating ww-2 had Taiwan within their territory sovereignty to begin with??????

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Republic_of_China_(1912%E2%80%... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Qing_dynasty