[enono]

That is a really good point. What then do you identify as the single commonality between these 30 cities.

I guess my point is just a general hesitation to accept simple answers for things.

I also was unaware that covid didn't precipitate similar increases in murder rate globally

[rufus_foreman]

>> What then do you identify as the single commonality between these 30 cities

I don't know. I mean we can start by ruling things out but I don't know.

It wasn't covid, every country had covid, you look at some of the other reasons people put forth, did that suddenly happen?

The increase in homicide rates suddenly happened. The police weren't suddenly defunded in 30 cities across America in June of 2020. They didn't suddenly change bail requirements in 30 cities across America in June of 2020.

The typical murder we are talking about here is a young black man with a handgun killing another young black man. That's where the increase comes from. Young black men didn't all of the sudden go acquire handguns in the middle of 2020.

These aren't for the most part legally acquired or legally carried handguns. Maybe starting in June of 2020 they felt the need to carry a gun was greater, and the risk of carrying a gun was lower?

In every large city in the US? I don't know, that's the best I've got. What've you got?

[Jensson]

June was the BLM riots. My theory is that the BLM riots showed people that they can overwhelm the police into inaction as long as there are enough criminals, and that caused the increase in crime.