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by rualca 1727 days ago
> Did anyone expect anything else? It was either extinction of the virus (which was unrealistic once it was out of China) or it evolving into a sort of cold with lots of casualties on the way there (the better adapted a disease is to their host, the better the survival rate of the host usually is).

The "evolve into a cold" hypothesis was more wishful thinking than a sure thing (i.e., pretending the problem would magically go away), which thankly was made possible with the quick turnaround time of the current batch of vaccines.

However, not only are there serious long-lasting consequences from getting Covid but it is also possible to be reinfected with more serious consequences.

Finally, there was a third scenario which I feel people are glancing over: the inception of new strains that pose bigger health risks. The Delta variant popped up from nowhere, spread like wildfire, and is deadlier. In a scenario where vaccines do not ensure immunity and where restrictions are being lifted then this development needs to be on the table because arguably we are already living it.

1 comments

There is no "evolve into a cold" hypothesis. SARS-CoV-2 already is a cold for the vast majority of youths that get infected, just like the other four endemic common cold coronaviruses. The only reason those other viruses don't kill as many people today is that most of us get infected as youths and then the resulting natural immunity gives us some protection later in life.

Symptomatic reinfection is possible but remains rare. The Delta variant is more contagious but there's no reliable evidence that it has a higher fatality rate. Vaccination cuts the fatality rate close to zero.