| The challenging part about equity that every company is different, takes bit different path and has different chances of success. My anecdotal example that I don't know anyone who made massive/post-economic money by joining a public company. You can probably make six figures easily, and potentially low 7 figures in some years. The only people I know who have mode 8 or 9 figures are people who have joined startups early or relatively early before the IPO, and the startup became a $20-100B company. Seed stage, as one of the first senior engineers, you might get 2%-0.5% equity. At $20M valuation (common YC valuation at the moment). That's $400k-100k value vesting over 4 years (which might sound low compared to FAANG offers). The point is the upside potential, not the value. FAANG companies might grow 5x in 5 years. Startups can grow much more. That's why the whole VC market exists. Hitting $1B means the company valuation went up 50x, hitting $10B means 500x, hitting $100B means 5000x. So your initial offer could be worth several millions to hundreds of millions. Even if you join later, when the company is valued $500M-$1B, you might still get 50-100x upside. The math is more complicated since usually companies raise multiple rounds which then dilutes the existing shareholders. Roughly 20% at seed/series a, and then less after that. |
It's easy to understand a FAANG style offer in this context.
You join Google in 2017, you get RSUs pegged at 800$ a share valuation, about 150k$ a year vesting, by 2021 those shares are worth 2800$ so you've earned about 2.1 million (not exactly as taxes come into play).
You join AirBNB in 2017, valued at 30 billion, you get a similar offer, fast forward to today and AirBNB is now worth 100 billion, you might have made 2 million (again, not exactly, considering taxes and potential dilution). And AirBNB is one of Y Combinator's most successful start ups/exits.
From some quick google searching - there are thousands of Y Combinator companies and only ~29 are worth one billion or more. Of those billion, they are all at this time late stage and trying to guess which up and coming Y Combinator company will be next to crack 1 billion is a very risky endeavour.
How does the tax implication of stock options really impact your net gain, and does that practically move the needle for a comparison against a standard FAANG offer?
Would be interesting to look at some cold hard numbers. Absolutely joining a 20M valuation YC company and sticking around until it grows to 1B would be incredibly lucrative - but how lucrative in a practical sense, given real offers? Dilution? Tax implications? Would love to see this analysis.