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by Out_of_Characte
1737 days ago
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How is it wrong in this case? your picked door had a 33% chance to have a price, since its one of three doors, now that a goblin is revealed the other door has a 66% chance of hiding the price. exactly like the monty hall problem |
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If you think that this description means that the host always opens a dud after you open the first, then you are wrong. It doesn't say that anywhere, and there is no reason to believe that this game show works that way. The only reason you think it does is that you connect it to the original Monty Hall problem which worked that way, which causes you to make the mistake thinking the same rules apply here.