[ksaj]

ICU units aren't being overrun by car accident victims, and they haven't had to rent out refrigeration trucks to contain their corpses, so my gut instinct says Covid is quite a bit more likely to kill than car accidents in at least some (if not all) states.

That's not a very scientific method, but it seems likely.

[natvert]

Same analysis error. How many beds are there total in a given hospital is the right question.

Looks like _all_ community hospitals in the US have about 100,000 beds (including all types of ICU beds, even pediatric for example) https://www.aha.org/statistics/fast-facts-us-hospitals

Spread this out to cover the entire number of community hospitals ~5000, and that means if 5 families of 4 people get sick in any community, the hospital will be "overrun"