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by 123pie123
1740 days ago
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for people who live in europe, try AROME, it's very limited compared to the other models, but it does (IMO) give the best forecast. in my experience AROME tends to forecast on the drier side of the weather. Since I'm in the UK I use AROME first and flick between ECMWF. (ECMWF tends to forecast on the wetter side!!) for the next hour(s) forcast, I tend to use rain radar - windy has this, but it's not the best I use netweather.tv (there's many others though) |
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Their utility depends a bit on what is causing the uncertainty in the forecast though. For the mid-latitutdes, a lot of the uncertainty comes from timing the arrival of a weather system. In these cases, the high resolution simulation doesn't help you, as it just incorporates the uncertainties of the lower resolution driving model.
The ensemble simulations that the weather servies perform will help you there, ECMWF has a really nice meteogram for individual locations [2].
[0] - https://www.dwd.de/EN/ourservices/nwp_forecast_data/nwp_fore...
[1] - https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/approach/modelling-sys...
[2] - https://apps.ecmwf.int/webapps/opencharts/products/openchart...