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by 123pie123 1740 days ago
for people who live in europe, try AROME, it's very limited compared to the other models, but it does (IMO) give the best forecast.

in my experience AROME tends to forecast on the drier side of the weather. Since I'm in the UK I use AROME first and flick between ECMWF. (ECMWF tends to forecast on the wetter side!!)

for the next hour(s) forcast, I tend to use rain radar - windy has this, but it's not the best I use netweather.tv (there's many others though)

1 comments

I'll add in a vote for the UK Met Office here too (particularly for the UK). AROME is a high resolution 'nested' model, where the region of interest is simulated at a higher resolution that the (often global) driving model. Similar to ICON-D2 (Germany [0])and UKV (UK [1]). These will typically produce a better downscale of the forecast to a local area.

Their utility depends a bit on what is causing the uncertainty in the forecast though. For the mid-latitutdes, a lot of the uncertainty comes from timing the arrival of a weather system. In these cases, the high resolution simulation doesn't help you, as it just incorporates the uncertainties of the lower resolution driving model.

The ensemble simulations that the weather servies perform will help you there, ECMWF has a really nice meteogram for individual locations [2].

[0] - https://www.dwd.de/EN/ourservices/nwp_forecast_data/nwp_fore...

[1] - https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/approach/modelling-sys...

[2] - https://apps.ecmwf.int/webapps/opencharts/products/openchart...

I would love to see the UK Met Office model in Windy

I don't know why it's not there - I'm assuming it costs money