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by Spivak 1756 days ago
I mean once you reach a certain age you really can’t afford to just hold on to your investments for a few decades because of a financial downturn. That retirement money is also most people’s emergency medical fund which can and does hit people in their 40s.
1 comments

I’m not saying to put 100% of every liquid dollar you have into the market, but in your 40s, I think it should be the majority of your investment funds.

Boglehead advice agrees, with an explicit principle of “Never bear too much or too little risk”, suggesting 30-40% bonds in your 40s and the rest in stocks.

I think more people underperform from being too risk-averse than under-perform from having too much equity exposure and having an unfortunate overlap of a large expense and a downturn in the market.

The book "Lifecycle Investing," by Yale professors Nalebuff and Ayres, argues that a young person ought to invest 100% or even more (via leverage) in stocks. (More specifically, a young person with high future earning potential, which probably includes many people here with a career in tech.)

I'm fairly risk averse and don't totally believe their leverage calculations. But it did convince me that any non-negligible bond allocation is probably suboptimal.

Even just a few years back, some top-rated corporate bonds (e.g. Microsoft) weren't a bad investment--although equities of course ended up doing much better. These days? I'm not sure there's anything that's not one step away from putting money under the mattress that makes sense outside of equities.