[pjmlp]

30 years to reach 1% of desktop usage, next year is going to be it, Windows 11 will make everyone migrate.

Had Microsoft been half serious with NT POSIX subsystem as they are with WSL, and it would never taken off, as proven by the masses that rather pay for Apple or Windows devices instead of supporting GNU/Linux OEMs.

[Koshkin]

It has taken Apple almost 40 years to reach 15%.

[pjmlp]

So, does Linux plan to grow 14% in 10 years?

[Koshkin]

For all we know, it might do even better. 10 years is a long time by today's standards.

[pjmlp]

I keep waiting to see the massive exodus that keeps being announced since Windows XP.

Instead Apple and Microsoft keep getting users that the only thing they care about is some kind of POSIX support, and don't care one second about supporting Linux OEMs.

In 10 years the Linux kernel might be everywhere, the userspace will be mostly gone, fully replaced by BSD licensed alternatives or commercial products.