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by morpheos137
1763 days ago
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Fuel alone is easily $10,000 a year for a taxi. The biggest expense people are not seemingly considering is the depreciation of the vehicle. taxis don't last long because the drive so much and so much stop and go. There could easily be $10,000 in depreciation a year. The diver does things a robo car will not be able to do like help people with their bags, clean the car, responds flexibly to situations as they arise. |
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Assuming super expensive fuel and terrible efficiency...
Gas car - 20 miles/gallon, $4.00/gallon ($4.00/20 = $0.20/mile. $10,000/$0.20 = 50,000 miles)
Electric car - 200 miles/74kWh [Tesla M3], $0.25/kWh (74 * $0.25 = $18.50. $18.50/200 miles = $0.0925/mile. $10,000/$0.0925 = 108,108 miles)
So assuming a gas car since the miles are the most expensive there, you would be looking at 50,000 miles for $10,000 in fuel. That checks out for me.
Using that assumption.
Uber charges $0.78/mile and $0.27/minute.
Assume only 75% of driving is charged to the customer (going to a fare, going to a charger, etc), that gives you 37,500 miles.
Assuming 45 miles per hour (probably too high) at $0.27/minute = (37,500/45)60 = 50,000 minutes of driving $0.27 = $13,500
37,500 miles * $0.78 = $29,250
So $42,750 in rev. - $30,000 in fuel, insurance, maintenance, and depreciation, you're still $12,750 in profit. Again, is pretty much giving every disadvantage possible. In an electric car scenario you could easily drive 200,000 miles on $10,000 in electricity. Which would multiply all numbers by 4.
I'm not trying to take your numbers too specifically, just illustrating for the sake of discussion.