[watwut]

> If they fail because they are too fixated on waging a puritanical religious war both within and without Afghanistan, financed by wealthy outside countries with their own agendas, they will be overthrown again, either from within, or from outside.

Violent oppressive dictatorships can last very long tho.

[danans]

Even still, those authoritarian governments have to serve the needs of a large subset of the population, often biased on ethnicity, and have an overwhelming monopoly of force. Neither of those is likely in Afghanistan.

The Taliban themselves are motivated by the rather modern goal of uniting the country's fractious and diverse ethnic landscape ... albeit under the banner of their extreme interpretation of Islam.