[ThatGeoGuy]

I am extremely skeptical of this. I think the best summary of why this isn't the story is provided by Zvi[1]. See the section "Delta Variant."

It's not something I can summarize in a couple short sentences, but the base rate of infections we're seeing from the actual data of delta infections doesn't match the 39% intuition at all. Additionally, the Israel Study seems to be thrown around a lot, but the data is suspicious if you look at our actual delta infection data from every other source.

In short, I think there's a lot of panic here that is being done by people who are looking at a single study.

[1]: https://thezvi.wordpress.com/2021/08/19/covid-8-19-cracking-...