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by makapuf 1762 days ago
From my point of view, the correlation is definitely not 1, but while competitive code is not good code, and therefore the skills and discipline differ, there is a strong correlation between good competitive programmer and good programmers. Just like sprinters and marathonians, sure best sprinters are not necessarily the best runners for long distance, but they are definitely better than me.
1 comments

According to Peter Norvig, the correlation is actually negative!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DdmyUZCl75s

This is a classic example of Berkson's paradox [1]. If the job applications you receive have a positive correlation between on-the-job performance and competitive programming performance, and you use competitive programming performance to select who you hire, then you can very easily end up with a negative correlation among the people you actually end up hiring.

When you don't include the people you rejected in the statistic, the correlation is useless.

[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Berkson%27s_paradox

I believe Norvig later clarified that the negative correlation was untrue or statistical noise.
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