[mortenjorck]

This isn’t “no wireless, less space than a Nomad,” though. This is like RCA announcing an iPod in 1961, reasoning that because they already make magnetic tape and portable electronics, it’s only a matter of time before they’ll be able to fit 1000 songs in your pocket.

[csmeder]

Fair point, however, I look forward to coming back to this comment in 5 years (1966).

Maybe I’ll be eating humble pie, however, my guess is that by then it will be out of prototype phase and in use.

[llsf]

This is a good point that most of us have difficulty to grasp. The innovation speed is actually increasing.

While Tesla is spending a lot of time and effort on their AI (from hardware to software), they might be able to reuse it later for other things, automating more tasks, and at scale. There is a compounding effect.

I don't think Tesla is kidding itself with Optimus, the v1 would be close to useless, and they know it. But it would allow them to learn, build a team of experts and get to the state of the art, to eventually improve it and go beyond. Maybe the main added value at the time would on the software only i.e. mechanically the robot would not be much better than the Boston Robotics of the day. And it could sufficient to actually make a big difference between a Boston Robotics and Tesla Bot ?

I am curious to see what they will end up with. I am not worry about the timeline. I was not expecting a humanoid robot in the next 10years. Tonight announcement is not really changing it, except that now, Musk put a stick on the ground, and we might witness some actual progress.

[d13]

In 40 years, 2001