[goatlover]

The climate models did not predict the current heat domes. I listened to a podcast just yesterday where the climatologist was explaining how they were caught by surprise. But I forgot which podcast it was, so here's a Guardian article from a few weeks ago:

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/jul/02/canadian...

The climatologists are saying warming increases the likelihood of these extreme events. The problem is the models said they shouldn't be happening yet. So maybe something additional is going on.

The issue now is the media is going to report any bad weather as climate related, which is no better than claiming there is no global warming because one experienced a colder winter than normal.

[_y5hn]

Weather forecasts did predict these extremes though. So if you have 10*10 what do you get? Climate models warn against local extremes like that, but do not yet model all the details. There are no redeeming factors of significance, so that is very concerning.

[pl-94]

The lastest report of IPCC brings more data and confidence about extreme weather. The key number is that their probability has increased by a factor of 150 wrt. to pré industrial era.