[phtrivier]

We know of many false prophets with huge charisma gathering crowds to commit senseless acts.

Here we're talking about unglamourous people gathering data, making projections, being wrong, gathering more data, updating their projections, being less wrong, gathering more data, making more updated projections, being less and less wrong, observing the reality becoming closer to their worst-case scenario, and being mocked by masses doing basically nothing.

Clearly, it's the same story.