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by zepto
1773 days ago
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Yes it is the null hypothesis. The poster is making a positive claim without evidence. Indeed the claim is unverifiable. Reasonable priors lead fo a null hypothesis that they are at least simply mistaken. This is without even taking into account other indicators of credibility or authority, or perverse incentives, as priors. This is a rational use of ‘null hypothesis’, but it also matches the scientific use, which would be that the claim is spurious unless experiment shows otherwise. In any case, we know that the poster is in fact wrong in their claim. |
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No, its not.
> The poster is making a positive claim without evidence.
True.
That doesn't make the alternate positive claim you have posited into “the null hypothesis”.
A null hypothesis is null. What you are stating may be your prior, but it is not the, or even a valid, null hypothesis.
> This is a rational use of ‘null hypothesis’, but it also matches the scientific use,
“Null hypothesis” is a very specific scientific term of artz it has no other meaning.
And, no, the specific counternarrative presented here does not match the scientific use of “null hypothesis”.