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by Turing_Machine 1776 days ago
> https://www.cfrinc.net/cfrblog/phone-surveys-data-collection

This doesn't say anything about the likelihood of people lying when a stranger calls them up and asks questions about a controversial/sensitive topic.

> http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2007.02.015

This paper compares the (claimed) reliability of web surveys with the (claimed) reliability of phone surveys. The paper is behind a paywall, but at least in the abstract, it does not appear to directly address the likelihood of people lying when a stranger calls them up and asks questions about a controversial/sensitive topic.

> There's a whole plethora of papers on the reliability (or lack thereof) of various surveying methods, including over the phone.

That may be true, but you don't appear to have cited any of them. Care to try again?

1 comments

How about "The Impact of Repeated Lying on Survey Results"?

* https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.1177/215824401247234...

The general point is that surveyors know people aren't always completely honest when asked questions.

Most human beings in general are aware that other humans will lie to them at times when asked questions, so why should surveyors being any different? Whereas people use 'heuristics' to judge another's honesty, surveyors will use quantitate methods.

> https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.1177/215824401247234...

This paper talks about figuring out how to tell when dishonest people are taking the same survey more than once. Also, it's discussing people who voluntarily take internet surveys repeatedly to attempt to cook the numbers, not people who are involuntarily cold-called at an identifiable telephone number, and wish to avoid answering a sensitive question.

Again, not even close to what you're claiming. That's the third non-relevant citation you've put forward. I think we're done here.

> The general point is that surveyors know people aren't always completely honest when asked questions.

Of course they know that. They just don't talk about it.

And no, there's no "quantitate method" to tell how many people are lying, barring an external verification source independent of the survey.

Tell me the approximate percentage of people who will lie when a stranger calls them up and asks them how many firearms they own, then tell me how much money you'd be willing to bet on that being the correct number.