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I agree with much of what you said, but I think there is another advantage of autofill which I think copy and paste misses out on. If autofill usually works perfectly day after day, and then one day it fails, for example because the password manager fails to match the URL on a phishing site, its an extra clue that it's not the correct site. Of course this also works with non-automatic autofill, and the importance of the autofill failing could easily be overlooked anyway.