|
|
|
|
|
|
by benzor
1786 days ago
|
|
|
We don't need any understanding of AI/ML in government to effectively regulate the autonomous vehicle industry. Design an appropriate set of tests, make companies run the gauntlet, only approve the ones that pass. The test criteria is simple: does this software meaningfully and statistically significantly reduce the risk of accident/harm/death compared to the average human driver? Add caveats and conditionals as you wish for conditions/weather etc. but it's fundamentally a black box test with no knowledge of technical internals required. |
|
|
And how does one prove something is true "statistically"?
By doing it many times. So many times that you can be statistically confident of the result.
Statistically, there is ~1.4 deaths per 100 MILLION miles driven.
To prove, statistically, that software is as good, it would have to drive at least 1 billion miles. And yes, it would kill 14 people in the process (or more, if it's worse than humans; or less, if its better).
Tesla is already doing what you say car companies should be doing i.e. statistically testing the software
Except you don't like it and think there's a magic fairy test that will show something "statistically" without driving statistically significant number of miles.