[flafla2]

I share your optimism but I think it it is unrealistic to unquestionably assume that SpaceX will continue to succeed. The very nature of the problems that they are trying to solve is such that failure is always a possibility.

I don’t say this as a slight to SpaceX… on the contrary the risk is what makes them so exciting!

[sneak]

I mean, the way they succeed with Starship is failing over and over again until they don't anymore. In that sense it is (now, not before SpaceX was scaled up) solely an issue of funding: will it work before the company runs out of cash?

At this point, I imagine most every investor in Earth would be tripping over their own legs to buy SpaceX stock if they could. If they ever run low, their ability to raise more money is as sure a thing as anything in this world these days. Additionally, Starlink is going to be an absolute revenue monster very soon, even if Starship for some reason ends up taking another decade to get working.

The only way Starship fails is if SpaceX goes broke. SpaceX is not going to go broke. Therefore, Starship will eventually work, after some variable and as yet indeterminate number of prototype failures.