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In six months to a year, I would expect the world to be pretty much the same as it is now. This sentiment derives, as a sort of parallel, from the oft-quoted: “How did you go bankrupt?” Bill asked. “Two ways,” Mike said. “Gradually and then suddenly.” - From The Sun Also Rises by Ernest Hemingway. So, I am not encouraged by trends - populism, protectionism, increasing divide between haves and have-nots, climate problems, resource competition (such as for water), and suchlike - but I would not expect a tipping point for a while. I am not in a position to predict anything, I lack the expertise/data, and my record for, say, trying to predict markets (this property boom can't last, this stock-price boom can't last, etc ad nauseam) is abysmal. That being said, I can't imagine that 50 to 100 years out that push will not have come to shove and societal collapse will, at the very least, have pretty much ended aspirational notions of or for a global society progressing towards better and better outcomes for all. The good news: I've always been wrong before :-) |
I just want to see the panel of ideas people can have, from their own eyes, own background and current situation.