[perl4ever]

I feel like there's a vague analogy to the birthday paradox, where when you fix one thing and think about other things matching up, the conjunction seems unlikely, but when you stop trying to hold one side still, you can see the probability is much higher.

[floatingatoll]

It’s definitely fuzzy and uncertain, that’s absolutely for sure. I’m confident both cases exist, but not at all about their relative prevalence.