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by js8 1797 days ago
The IPCC report is a good start: https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar5/wg2/

The AR6 version is supposed to come out next year.

1 comments

AR5 is great, SR15 is more recent: https://www.ipcc.ch/sr15/graphics/

I particularly find skipping to the graphics page and looking for maps useful for answering peoples geography related questions.

One thing to keep in mind is that report was overall meant to illustrate the difference between a 1.5 and a 2C outcome, but at this point 1.5C is toast and 2C would be an optimistic outcome so you can just skip to the 2C graphs for your estimating purposes.

Given CO2 emitted today doesn't have an immediate impact, 2C appears impossible at this point: https://www.ecowatch.com/greenhouse-gases-paris-agreement-26...

This is just for the CO2 already in the atmosphere. Add to that at least 10 more years of emissions that continue to grow at an exponential rate. Then another 20 years of decreasing CO2 emissions, and it might be better to look at: https://bigthink.com/strange-maps/what-the-world-will-look-l....