| You're right, most people would consider that to have broken the link, and that's unfortunate because it's a misleading interpretation. As explained in the comment you're replying to, the aggregate statistics are very different from the per-cohort statistics, which are unfortunately not prominently displayed. And you also have not taken into account exponential growth and time lag. Predictions are that infections are to rise significantly to perhaps more than 100,000 per day. It hasn't occurred yet, and it's inevitable that it will accelerate if there's an abrupt change of behaviour. It will be several weeks later that this will translate to whatever turns out to be the exponential rise in severe disease statistics, just as the current reported death rate is time-lagged from infection rates several weeks ago. And not mentioned here is the non-death severe consequences: Long Covid mainly, which young people get. And all those people with cancer who can't get treatement while the hospitals are full of Covid patients, and for that matter, daren't risk going to hospital anyway because of the immunosuppressants they are on. For those in the wrong cohorts, the link is not broken, and the death risk to them is about to go up as they are forced back onto public transport and back to workplaces with protections removed. They are by no means all "laggards" with regard to vaccination, as though that's a personal choice. I personally am eager to be vaccinated but won't be fully vaccinated with the appropriate post-second-shot delay until beginning of October. I'm in a slightly at risk group, and my family is significantly at risk. So there's no way I'm risking going to any shops or anything like that between now and October :/ That's why I feel for those who don't have work at home jobs. I do, and I'm eager to keep it that way. If you're one of those people who likes to say "who cares if 10% of our users can't read our website", perhaps you also are the type to think "who cares if the death link isn't broken for 33% of the population, it's broken for the other 67% so that's fine!". |