[throwaway5752]

Localized coldness records that are the result of the polar vortex breaking apart over the arctic and sending masses of cold air south. They are accompanied by heat waves and records in the arctic. The 80s information and forecasts were actually pretty decent in terms of the observed warming levels so far. What is a shame is that they were not pessimistic enough regarding the feedback loops we are now aware of.

[firestarter223]

Especially if you can pick just the forecasts that are not already wrong, and forget about the rest.

According to this article in nature, there is rather a tendency to use worst case scenarios that are no longer probable.

https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-00177-3