[microprediction]

I agree and I hear these anecdotal success stories. What I'd be more than happy to do is add some time series which are considered to be in Prophet's strong suit, to see where they end up on leaderboards like https://www.microprediction.org/stream_dashboard.html?stream... However the skeptic in me thinks that prophet might be performing a bit of a trick (not in any evil way) on the user ... convincing them visually that something is being done when really, the generative model means you have to get really lucky for it to add value. Happy to be convinced otherwise!