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by jstepka 1813 days ago
it's so weird. i know it'll be cold in feb in minnesota. i know this because i have experience. and that experience translates into my ability to give guidance. if you want to be taken serious, you need experience to be able to estimate.
2 comments

4F or 12F? Come on, which is it? If it's above 8F I can get away with a cheaper antifreeze next year, but I need to put the order in next week.

"Cold" is not an adequate analogy for the sorts of estimates that non-delivery parts of businesses seem to think they are entitled to, and it's not reasonable to say people can't be taken seriously for rejecting that trap.

This is the "it never rains" strategy of weather reporting. On most days, it's not raining, so you'll be right most of the time.

Some may claim they have personally experienced rain, so your model must have some faults, but just ignore those plebeians.