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by pmorici 1824 days ago
Tesla
1 comments

Not a chance.

As it is, they're incredibly overvalued, even after their fall from almost hitting $1B. At their current market cap of ~$663B, they still have a P/E ratio of over 650. That is absolutely insane.

It is a reflection of very high growth and is being valued using a discounted cash flow model based on expected future earnings. Extremely rational.
Tesla would have to increase earnings by 20x to make their current P/E rational.

And I just don't think that's realistic. At least not within the next 10 years.

Yes, my assumption is they will do that in ~5 years.
Perhaps that's why Michael Burry is shorting it.
He isn’t shorting it. He bought put options around the time it was added to the S&P 500 in late 2020. Probably a bet that most companies have a pop and return to trend period following addition to S&P as well as a bet that interest rates would rise which affects stocks being valued on a discounted cash flow basis.