[lal]

I think your hand slipped and replaced "I hope" with "it's very likely". Whether or not PopOS is intuitive is a separate question from whether or not Linux will dominate on the desktop.

Apple and Microsoft "abandoning" their desktop OSes is a dubious claim at best but in a magical world where they did, their "non-tech-literate users" wouldn't flock to Linux, they'd be happy they don't have to restart their computer for updates as often anymore. Non-techie people aren't going to move to a new OS except when they get a new computer. Even when they get a new computer they're just going to use the pre-installed OS. This is a fantasy.

These things have inertia. People who don't know computers aren't arbitrarily just going to decide to switch to a new OS where they have to relearn everything and their software doesn't work and there are moderately more driver incompatibilities that cause errors that confuse them. It's just not going to happen.