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by curation 1830 days ago
Yes! And also, the urge for a rapid answer is ideological. Never has the origin of a virus happened in a year. Or two. The Spanish flu was from Kansas. Ten years after the fact SARS is mostly proven to be from bats. https://news.ycombinator.com/reply?id=27551349&goto=threads%.... MERS, similarly the origin is from African Bats but the actual precise location is still being investigated. The impulse to answer now, in 90 days or even to answer in the next decade is cultural and being leveraged and weaponized in every direction. The answer is: We cannot know and do not know and won't know for a long time. Any kind of accusation or speculation, especially against America or China has the chilling effect of destroying any possible evidence. Perhaps that is in effect the point. How can China or America or X prove the negative? This is a weaponized geo-political conversation precisely because the politics is forbidden into the framework of the conversation that is, at its outset, profoundly political and ideological.