[thysultan]

HTF(how the fuck) is Taiwan going send missiles beyond its own airspace let alone over China's to blow up the three gorges dam?

If China is serious Taiwan will be encircled with s-400's in little islands(artificial or otherwise) surrounding it before the first shot is ever fired, at which point the conclusion is already a forgone tale.

When it does happen the rest of the world(by which i mean the U.S) will be pre-occupied with domestic issues, cyber space issues and possibly another pandemic.

Not to mention the backdrop of the fact that the U.S launching missiles to China might trigger the MAD doctrine of Russia because missiles heading in that general direction might as well be heading to Russia, or be assumed to be as much.

>“Russia will perceive any ballistic missile launched at its territory as a nuclear attack that warrants a nuclear retaliation” - Russian military chief warned last year after round of reforms

Ergo the U.S president at that time will leave Taiwan out to dry instead of risking World War 3.

We're living in interesting times.

[shkkmo]

> Ergo the U.S president at that time will leave Taiwan out to dry instead of risking World War 3.

I don't think (or atleast I hope not) the US would use nuclear weapons to defend Taiwan, but I have a hard time believing that the US wouldn't offer atleast token military resistance. At the very least, the US has a lot of standing to lose with it's many allies accross the globe that would make leaving Taiwan out to dry very costly.

[thysultan]

The fact that it need not be nuclear, complicates their possible response because

>“Russia will perceive any ballistic missile launched at its territory as a nuclear attack

and based on recent historical data in ukraine, it's not beyond the states course of action to not do anything of consequential note, and instead opting for token gestures.