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by dcow 1832 days ago
> ridiculous conspiracy theories, anti-science, and anti-reason

I am more humble than that.

It's not so much that I respect it out of awe or because I think it needs to be validated or is correct. It's that I disagree with such a hyper-rational conviction that there's no possible correlation between astrological events and human behavior (a market is entirely human behavior). Such conviction can be.. dangerous.

I do not believe a market is rational or scientific (they are certainly "efficient" though). I actually find those with a desire to approach such a human phenomenon scientifically to also fall in the anti-science anti-reason bucket, because they do not understand the limits of the scientific method or western rationalism.

When presented with a black-box market:

The scientific method can help you discover a model that answers the question, "how does the market work?".

Science cannot answer the question, "why does the market move?".