[stuntkite]

This is a good breakdown and I agree 100%. No one ever reports using meth or heroin for 5 years with no legal consequence and then just moving on. There are a couple studies that show that there is a type of drug user that may be massively uncounted for. They take a turn into substance abuse/dependance after a trauma. Loss of a loved one, a breakup, loss of a job, serious injury, etc. The main study I read on the issue said the average arc of the people they could find to self report was about 5 years.

Almost all of our drug statistics are based on interactions with police which produce legal consequences for a medical issue. All that said, I'm not saying "drugs are more safe than previously thought!" just that most of our public knowledge and legislation is about incarceration and leaves out an invisible population. The study was a few years old, I believe it was done just as the opiate epidemic came into view and well before anyone knew what carfentanyl was. Opiates affected rich white people's children has widened out the understanding a bit and migrogram opiates put a lot more people in front of police and medical. Also microgram opiates pop up in a lot of drugs that aren't supposed to contain them so I think that changes some things too.

A quick google has not produced this study or related, but if I find it, I'll tag it back in an edit.