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by marcescence
1833 days ago
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A quote from datscilly, the top forecaster on metaculus: >AGI may never happen, but the chance of that is small enough that adjusting for that here will not make a big difference (I put ~10% that AGI will not happen for 500 years or more, but it already matches that distribution quite well).[1] [1]:https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/hQysqfSEzciRazx8k/forecastin... |
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