|
|
|
|
|
|
by gls2ro
1834 days ago
|
|
|
If I would do a kind of bet, I would bet that the event which will trigger the market crash will apparently be like nothing real (like Pandemic, natural disaster ...) happened, yet one day the "market" will start selling everything after a normal-like event in the market (a company buying another company, or a corporation selling their division ... or announcing a third quarter loss). And like probably other stuff once the spiral of the market will go down more and more people will start going out, wanting their money back so making the spiral faster and faster. I think the difference between what I explain and COVID is that COVID can be seen like an external event but we had big hopes we can solve it. So there was not need in the market to react to this long term. Hope made the market rise up very quickly after the first months of 2020. Of course I am just reading articles on the internet, I don't have any experience in money/markets/financials so I see this mostly as a funny possible situation. |
|
|
One of my favourite simplification is weather forecast - currently feather doesn't depend on our expectations of it and predicting it is already extremely difficult task. Now you can imagine if weather would factor in what we expect it to be - and forecasting would be even more complicated.
That's said, it may be important or unimportant event, however noone has capacity to predict it (although in the hindsight there will be a lot of those who will brag that they had seen it coming).