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by jkingsbery 1847 days ago
As the Geraghty article I cited mentions, the Wuhan Institute of Virology leak theory has at best circumstantial evidence, and very well might not be true. And in any case, the claim is not that it was intentional. While not impossible, there is currently zero evidence today that the virus came from anywhere else. There is zero evidence of any cases anywhere before those in China (indeed, before those in Wuhan). China is not known for having lax border crossings, making smuggling in vials unlikely. Wuhan is not close to a border, if someone came to Wuhan already infected, there would be a trail of infected people from the border to Wuhan, or other people would have been infected on a plane if a human carrier brought it in. If someone brought it in during the World Military Games as you seem to think in other posts, the timeline doesn't make sense, since the first cases of COVID weren't for at least a month after, in November (and besides the possible cases by the people who work at WIV, most cases started in December). Your hypothesis does not fit the data.

So I ask you: what evidence, even circumstantial, do you have for making the claim you do?

1 comments

My understanding is a few labs, including one in North Carolina, were working on this virus and shared samples with labs around the world. Unfortunately, these viruses are now easy enough for a small team anywhere in the world to create with the widely available tools....transporting a payload across borders is trivially easy.

Motives... the Chinese have no incentive to maliciously release a virus in their own country during an event that is tied to national pride and acts as a showcase of Chinese domestic development in Wuhan. The western warhawks on the other hand have a tremendous interest in obstructing any Chinese military cooperation with its peers. The potential motives seem quite clear...with the nice side effect of disrupting Chinese trade as the world recoils from a new downside risk of globalization.

The US and its allies have a long history of biological warfare against economic competitors. Even the Japanese bio-warfare campaign in WW2 China was supported, partially funded, and fully pardoned by the US/UK...people and history books tend to forget/omit that Imperial Japan received all of its oil and much of its supplies from the US. These supplies being cutoff (aka treaty violation) without FDR's/Churchill's knowledge are what resulted in the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor.

During periods of uncertainty, it's good to remember that America's left hand doesn't always know what its right hand is doing... and vice versa.

I tend to think history is in the process of rhyming again.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unit_731

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unit_Ei_1644

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kaimingjie_germ_weapon_attac...