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by Opt_Out_Fed_IRS 1851 days ago
This sadly means that people aren't betting on themselves anymore.

When assets skyrocket, usually business formation and funding goes down.

Banks have better data but anecdotally this is what is happening

Ideally if somebody in here works for the big boys such as JPMorgan , Wells Fargo or Barclays and wanted to decipher such phenomenon you'd look at something like:

(Turnover in business bank account opened in the past year - outgoing payments to insiders,beneficial owners and companies controlled by insiders and beneficial owners) / GDP

Yet another metric of risk taking:

No. of hires + no. of people who quit. This gives you an idea of how confident business are in their growth and how confident people are in their personal growth.

Of course stuff like the stimulus and paying people to stay home distort stuff so much that such data can't be compared to say 2005

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Assets appreciating for investors should be good for creators too. It means the investors can give them more money.

I’d be curious to see some graphs exploring the correlation between startup funding round sizes and the various asset prices including crypto.

Ideally the turnover of businesses should be really high

Meaning outflow from business bank accounts older than 5 years should be really high and inflow in business bank account younger than 1 year should be high as well (all as % of GDP)

As much as people like Bezos claim "it's always day one" they won't risk the company on moonshots like they did back in the days.

Partially because they feel they can't win as if the big bet were to be successful then you can't cash on it because the antitrust would immediately dissolve a 5 trillion dollar company.

The only crazy coked dude out there still pushing is Musk, but he has a taste for picking industries which make terrible businesses, and I think will retire before any of his companies generates positive FCF