[proxysna]

No one will stand for Belarus. Sanctions have the effect of running Belarus into Russian\Chinese debt pit even further.

Until the military sides with opposition (it won't) there will be no changes at all. Even if military gets involved, there will be russian "voluteers" (see Russian volunteers in Moldova 90, Balkans 92-01, Chechnya 93, Ukraine 14 ) that are there to help fight new "junta".

And then it will result in Ukraine II: electric boogaloo. Eastern Belarus is de-facto a part of Smolensk oblast' with some Russia funded murderers creating an "independent" republic. This was played out to death over the last 30 years.

And don't get me wrong. All while this will be happening, EU will be very concerned, that is for sure.

None of this will happen ofc, because all resistance will be suppressed with excessive force, at the very start. No trials, no judges.