[lozaning]

> Current projections are something like 3-4 months to get a single reward

You cant project time to win without knowing how many plots a farmer has. You've gotta have 100+ TB plotted (prolly closer to 140actually) at this point to have a chance at winning every 3-4 months.

A single plot would put you closer to 7 years.

[kelp]

I currently have two plots farming and it looks like this:

  Farming status: Farming
  Total chia farmed: 0.0
  User transaction fees: 0.0
  Block rewards: 0.0
  Last height farmed: 0
  Plot count: 2
  Total size of plots: 202.674 GiB
  Estimated network space: 7357.090 PiB
  Expected time to win: 20 years and 1 month

[tomlagier]

That's just not accurate. See https://chiacalculator.com/ for more.

3-4 months is currently around 18 TB.

EDIT: 100 TB would get a coin every ~ 18 days on average.

[dheera]

> 3-4 months is currently around 18 TB.

That number does't account for how many more Chia farmers will exist in 1,2,3 months. It doesn't even account for linear extrapolation of total plots in the world, let alone exponential.