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by rcpt 1863 days ago
In California you can get whatever crazy thing you want passed with O($10M). I bet $1B could get even Prop 13 overturned which would solve the housing disaster overnight.
2 comments

2020's Prop 19 to reform property taxes just a bit had about $20 million behind it, and it didn't even land on the ballot.

SF would need to gut its entire permitting system. Today, it can't even make small and incremental improvements: https://www.sfchronicle.com/local/heatherknight/article/Is-p...

> 2020's Prop 19 to reform property taxes just a bit had about $20 million behind it, and it didn't even land on the ballot.

Correction: in 2020, Proposition 19 (which limited Proposition 13/58 property tax breaks for parent-child transfers to only farms and owner-occupied “family homes”) did pass 51%-49%, whereas Proposition 15 (which would have eliminated Proposition 13 tax breaks for commercial property) was on the ballot but failed 48%-52%.

$20m and $1b is a significant difference.
You're absolutely right. That is a significant difference.

My point was that O($10m) isn't even enough to reliably land something on the ballot, much less get whatever crazy thing you want passed.

This of course being distinct from undoing Prop 13.

Let's say $200M then. That's more than Uber's Prop 22 had and that was bad for just about everyone who voted for it.

In a state that's nearly majority renters it should be possible to outspend HJTA and win.

I wonder when will tech companies will wise up and put some serious money towards lobbying for more housing for their employees.

Probably never because management don't care, highly-compensated workers will find a way, and many are moving to at least hybrid-remote anyway. But imagine what if big SF corporate money finally got sick of their headquarters being surrounded by homeless suffering and public sanitation problems and put some money towards systematically fixing it.

That's such a good idea that tech companies already agree with you and have done precisely that. You might look at Mountain View for an example of tech companies lobbying for more housing in action.
You'd need to end or severely restrict local zoning.

Everyone loves the idea of cheaper housing for people in theory.

Once they realize it means their own property value won't appreciate as quickly, or may even decrease and then suddenly they are against it. And they will vote out any officials that support it.

There needs to be state or federal intervention. And that doesn't seem likely at any time in the near future.

Zoning laws aren't laws of physics. Our tax policy is a huge incentive for the current zoning.