There's probably enough data out already on how long hard drives last while mining Chia to make a reasonable estimate. It kills hard drives fast enough that a large percentage of hard drives which were mining at genesis are now dead.
There actually is an estimate of this floating in the chia Keybase channel. I remember it being very low, but there are many variables. Even at 100x the estimate it came down to less than 10 million USD in CO2 offsets.